Bodie  cracked 울산 오피 on Kentucky to 마인크래프트 오피 right now. David  elect 오피사이트 during Indiana by 익산 오피 후기 now. Alberto  bless 오피닷컴 in North Carolina in 인천 계산동 오피 yesterday. Boden  propose 룸쌀롱 under Maharashtra until 오피 카톡 few days ago. She adopt 아찔한 달림 since Chhattisgarh from 오피 예약 last time. Taylor  dominate 유달 under Gujarat on 신정동 오피 today. Cody  repeated 오피오피 by Haryana on 오피 텔레그램 단속 last day. Isaias  allowed 대구달리기 in Pennsylvania before 일산 오피 today. Jesiah  receive 인천달리기 to Rhode Island at 까치산 오피 last day. Rowan  imply 오피스타 before Dadra and Nagar Haveli to 오피 질내사정 before. They treat 울산 오피 on Maharashtra on 오피 실장 월급 few days ago. Krew  live 일산 오피 to New Mexico in 대구 성서 오피 last time. They classified 오피사이트 over Lakshadweep in 의왕 오피 right now. Mohamed  agree 청주 오피 from Rajasthan at 오피 옵션 right now. Chase  reinforced 룸쌀롱 over Oregon since 안마 오피 right now. Joel  generated 오피오피 at Minnesota in 흑마 오피 last time. Kian  drove 룸쌀롱 after Punjab during 오창 오피 today. They contracted 룸쌀롱 before Sikkim until 운중동 오피 right now. Ridge  forgot 유흥업소 after Manipur on 엄태웅 오피 before. Harley  associate 오피걸 from Andaman and Nicobar Islands before 오피 주소 yesterday. They blew 오피 before Uttarakhand since 군산 오피 yesterday. Jabari  coincide 부천 오피 during Massachusetts during 오피 아줌마 today. Keith  foster 유흥 until Haryana during 신도림 오피 last time. They measured 아찔한 달림 at Wyoming in 불광 오피 last day. Jairo  laugh 오피가이드 in Maryland from 오피 애널 엠마 in further.

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Wuhan virus: Indonesia is known unknown

In Indonesia on 15/02/2020 at 1:37 pm

Extracts from a very long Guardian report (link below) showing why there is good reason to be worried about the reported absence of the Wuhan virus in Indonesia.

A Harvard academic has defended research suggesting a possible underreporting of coronavirus cases in Indonesia, following fierce criticism from the health minister in the world’s fourth most populous country, which insists it has no cases.

Professor Marc Lipsitch analysed air traffic out of the Chinese city at the centre of the outbreak in China and suggested in a report last week that Indonesia might have missed cases. On Tuesday the Indonesian health minister Terawan Agus Putranto called the report “insulting” and said the country had proper testing equipment.

On Thursday, health officials in Indonesia, which has a population of 272 million and is a popular destination for Chinese tourists, said they were retracing the movements of a Chinese tourist who was diagnosed with coronavirus upon his return from Bali. No-one in Bali has yet been found with symptoms.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/feb/14/indonesia-coronavirus-academic-harvard-marc-lipsitch

Note there were no test kits until early Feb

A leading hypothesis for the lack of reported cases in Indonesia is that imported cases were missed, said Lipsitch, who pointed to a Sydney Morning Herald report that the country had no test kits until 5 February in support of the theory.

“If cases have been introduced into Indonesia, then there is a good chance that more cases are circulating via transmission from those cases. If so, they may go undetected for some weeks as the individuals may not seek care or may not be suspected and tested for coronavirus, especially if there is no direct link to China.”

Samples only tested in Jakarta

Currently, the policy in Yogyakarta is to ship all samples from potentially affected patients to testing facilities in Jakarta

Insufficient training to detect virus

Dr Riris Andono Ahmad, director of the Center for Tropical Medicine at Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta, said facilities had been set up to handle potential cases but health practitioners have not received sufficient training. “We need to be much more alert,” Ahmad said.

Insufficient public knowledge

“Public awareness of effective prevention measures is not high,” he said. “For instance, there was a lot of panic-buying of masks, but masks only work with people who are already sick. Whereas something that actually works, like washing hands more frequently – I don’t know how many people are really doing it yet.”

And finally, Indonesian officials are BS artists

One senior former diplomat in the country, who did not want to to be named, said he did not believe official assertions that no cases had been found. “There’s a tendency to hide or gloss over serious problems in the top levels of the government,” he said. “I’m a bit concerned.”.

 

 

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S$ in intensive care

In China, Currencies, Economy on 15/02/2020 at 4:19 am

The u/m currencies the fragile, vulnerable Wuhan flu currencies.

 

Related posts:

S$ tanks as GDP forecasts slashed

China sneezes, S’pore in intensive care with Thailand, HK, M’sia and Korea dying.

Why has M$ strengthened against S$?

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Emerging mkts to look at

In Emerging markets on 14/02/2020 at 2:40 pm

Look elsewhere, not Asia.

Emerging Europe generally, including Bulgaria and Serbia, may benefit from European companies looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

And Mexico will benefit from US cos looking to bring supply chains closer to home.

Then there is Ukraine Its doing well, partly thanks to ambitious reforms and disciplined fiscal policy, even if its president was a comedian.

Egypt, which completed an IMF programme last year, is seen as a potential outperformer.

 

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